Insights
The Swarm Age: Drones, Robots and the New Calculus of Military Power
GINC analysis of drone warfare economics: Ukraine builds 200,000+ drones monthly; only China, the US and Ukraine rate frontier-tier in swarming robotics.
Global Institute for National Capability
Mapping the foundations of national power, prosperity and resilience.
National Capability Atlas
A living reference for the measurement of nations. Our open-source data, research and indices, mapped to one shared framework.
An open-source index rating nations on absolute capability across 250 discrete capabilities.
→ 02An open-source index measuring the infrastructure foundations of nations — energy, transport, digital and water.
→ 03An open-source index measuring national development through evidence-backed events and the series that connect them.
→ 04An open-source index mapping how national leaders speak and how that shifts over time.
FACTBASE
factbase.org is GINC's data laboratory, powering our indices and computational analytics. Licensed access to billions of data points on nations, capabilities, research and sovereign discourse.
Information & Influence
Welcome to the new economics of information operations, where a sanctioned state can out-reach a superpower on its own platforms for the price of a cloud computing bill.
Sport
Saudi Arabia's $925 billion fund and 900+ sponsorship deals reshape sport diplomacy; GINC tracks hosting, elite performance, ownership and federation influence.
Reports
Capability Ratings
GINC's 2026 flagship ratings cover 100+ nations across nine domains and 200 capabilities; Singapore leads with Tier 1 in seven, ahead of the US and Switzerland.
Critical Technology
How advanced technologies shape power, prosperity, and resilience, have driven the rise and decline of nations, and define the current leaders in critical technology
Hard Power
Hard power drives GINC's 2026 security, technology and infrastructure ratings: the US holds sole Tier 1 status in all three, with China and France in Tier 2.
Production and Innovation
Production and innovation in 2026: GINC places Israel, Singapore and South Korea in Tier 1, and China and Japan in Tier 2, across manufacturing and R&D.
Trade and Investment
Trade and investment leaders for 2026, per GINC: five nations reach Tier 1 - Estonia, Israel, Singapore, South Korea and the US, Singapore leads digital trade.
Governance and Integrity
Governance and integrity in 2026: GINC places eight nations in Tier 1 - Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Israel, Norway, Singapore, Sweden and Switzerland leads.
Advancing the measurement of nations
Human capital across 100+ nations in GINC's 2026 ratings, spanning education, health, research and workforce: Estonia, Israel and Singapore reach Tier 1.
Strategic infrastructure for 25 nations in GINC's 2026 ratings, covering manufacturing, aerospace, AI, energy and transport: Singapore and the US lead.
A guide to 20 critical technology ETFs spanning semiconductors, cybersecurity, nuclear energy and quantum computing, led by VanEck's Semiconductor ETF.
National security in 2026 spans seven domains from land to nuclear power in GINC's ratings; only Israel and the US reach Tier 1, China and France in Tier 2.
China’s AI push has shifted from catching up at home to setting the rules abroad, melding chip self-reliance, state capital, and Digital-Silk-Road diplomacy into a single strategic engine.
Iran is notably a T4 Frontier, National Security nation with a clear strength in Hard Power and much weaker Soft and Economic Power profiles
Australia sits 19th on the Global Capability Frontier, with strong performance all around, but lacking a T1 role in any of the nine capability domains.
Russia is not racing to lead AI globally, it is engineering an AI system it can control, sustain, and deploy under pressure.
Morocco leads Africa's Capability Frontier in T4 Information & Influence followed by T5 in National Security. Ethiopia sits on T4 for Productivity and Innovation and Egypt T5 for National Security
GINC ranks Taiwan 18th globally across nine capability domains, between the UK and Australia, with Tier 2 strength in Production but weak maritime reach.
Estonia sits on the global frontier (T1) for Human Capital, Governance & Integrity and Investment & Trade, positioning 🇪🇪 Estonia in 7th place globally.
China is ranked 2nd in the Hard Capability domain behind the US, however ranks 15th across all nine capability domains, reflecting still emerging Soft Capabilities and Economic Capabilities.