GINC Scenarios / 2026
Intro ```html Area Scenario Upside/Downside Economic and tradeGeoeconomic confrontationDownside Economic and tradeSingle-supplier cut-offDownside Economic and tradeGlobal financial crisisDownside Economic and tradeSovereign funding crisisDownside Economic and tradeCoordinated sovereign debt resetUpside Economic and tradeEmerging-market growth breakoutUpside Geopolitical and securityMaritime chokepoint closureDownside Geopolitical and securityHybrid campaign by a hostile