China's massive military parade and national capability demonstration.
Beijing’s V-Day parade blends hard-power advances with alliance optics and WWII memory—signaling deterrence and a confident, multipolar China.
Latest
Shanghai Cooperation Summit 2025: Xi Hosts Modi and Putin in a New Global Order
In late August 2025, China’s northern port city of Tianjin transformed into a hub of global diplomacy as President Xi Jinping welcomed over twenty world leaders for a highly anticipated Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit
Preliminary Insights from the Trump–Putin Meeting in Alaska (August 15, 2025)
The high-profile Alaska summit between Trump and Putin ended with no ceasefire or concessions, giving Putin symbolic diplomatic gains while Trump vowed to “keep talking” as allies stressed that Ukraine’s sovereignty remains non-negotiable.
Space-Based Nuclear Weapons: Capabilities and Geopolitical Implications
A destabilizing frontier emerges as nuclear weapons in space threaten satellites, global infrastructure, and crisis stability, with the United States, Russia, and China each shaping the risks and responses.
Precision Farming for Global Food Security. AI and the Fourth Agricultural Revolution
AI in precision agriculture can revolutionize global food systems, but its full potential will only be realized if access, infrastructure, and governance keep pace with technological advances.
🇨🇳 China’s Cyber Rise: From Fragmented Actors to Strategic Powerhouse
An integrated, state-driven cyber enterprise combining global reach, strategic patience, and comprehensive domestic control.
Eyes in the Sky: How the US and China are Shaping the Future of Drone Warfare
A balanced overview at how the US and China are shaping the future of warfare through competing advances in unmanned systems and counter-drone defences.
Navigating the New Frontier: Modernising Low Earth Orbit Spectrum Policy for Global Capability
Modernising outdated GEO-era spectrum rules is essential to unlock the full potential of low Earth orbit satellites, maintain U.S. space leadership, and counter rising global competition.
Undersea Cable Vulnerabilities and National Security Risks
Undersea cables, carrying most of the world’s data, face shared security concerns as both China and the U.S. are scrutinized for roles in infrastructure access and alleged cable interception, highlighting the need for international cooperation and transparent protection measures.
🇨🇳 DeepSeek’s R1: A Geopolitical and Economic Wake-Up Call in the Global AI Race
DeepSeek’s R1 AI model rivals OpenAI at a fraction of the cost, showcasing China’s rapid innovation gains, raising national security concerns over open-source proliferation, and highlighting how export restrictions can drive efficiency breakthroughs that reshape the global AI race.
India–China Trade Re-Engagement: Strategic Calculus Under Constraint
India and China cautiously resume selective trade after a five-year freeze, reopening border passes, restoring flights, and negotiating key commodity supplies within a “managed rivalry” framework.
🇯🇵 Japan's AI and Cyber Capability
Japan is advancing AI and cyber capabilities through soft-law governance, dual-use innovation, and new active defense measures, positioning them as central pillars of its national strategy.
National Capability Framework
Bronze Age National Capability Assessments
Bronze Age National Capability Assessments
National Capability Framework
Sumer (c. 3000–2000 BCE) – National Capability Assessment in its Bronze Age Context
A cradle of urban civilisation, Sumer fused groundbreaking innovations, economic reach, and cultural influence to shape the foundations of statecraft in the ancient Near East.
National Capability Framework
Old Kingdom Egypt: National Capability Assessment in its Bronze Age Context
Old Kingdom Egypt (c. 2686–2181 BCE) assessment against the Global Institute for National Capability (GINC) National Capability Framework, applying the Emerging National Capability Ratings scale to an ancient context.
Artificial Intelligence
40 National AI Strategies
In 2025, most major economies have refreshed or are updating their AI strategies, with global leaders driving investment and governance while others focus on capacity, sovereignty, and trust.
National AI Strategies
🇺🇸 United States' National AI Strategy
The U.S. national AI strategy seeks to secure global leadership by fostering a decentralized, innovation-driven ecosystem that advances R&D, talent, and infrastructure while promoting ethical, competitive, and safe AI in coordination with industry, allies, and states.
National Capability Framework
Akkadian Empire: National Capability Assessment in its Bronze Age Context
Akkad forged the world’s first true empire, uniting Mesopotamia under a centralised monarchy that blended military power, administrative sophistication, and expansive trade networks into a model of Bronze Age imperial dominance.
National Capability Framework
Indus Valley Civilisation: National Capability Assessment in its Bronze Age Context
An urban powerhouse of the Bronze Age, the Indus Valley Civilisation blended advanced city planning, economic integration, and cultural cohesion to create one of history’s most sophisticated and enigmatic ancient societies.
China
🇨🇳 Chinese Shipbuilding Capability: Evolution, Scale, and Global Comparison
China’s rise from a minor shipbuilder to the world’s dominant dual-use maritime power has reshaped global shipbuilding capacity, leaving South Korea and Japan in niche roles and the U.S. far behind with strategic risks for security and trade.
National Capability Framework
2025 National Capability Ratings
A dynamic snapshot of national capability across hard, soft, and economic power, tracking emerging strengths and strategic resilience.
Cities
The World’s Most Fragile Cities: 2025 Global Fragility Ranking
GINC’s 2025 Global Fragility Ranking reveals the cities most at risk worldwide—highlighting urban centers where economic, environmental, and governance pressures converge to threaten stability and resilience.
Gaza City’s Fragility in Focus: Analysis of the 2025 Ranking
QUICK TAKE · AI Summary Gaza City is ranked the world’s most fragile city in 2025, following extreme conflict, institutional collapse, and widespread humanitarian catastrophe. All five fragility dimensions—security, governance, socioeconomic, environmental, and infrastructure—are critically degraded, creating compounding risks and barriers to recovery. The next five years will
China
Huawei
How Huawei is turning sanctions into strategy—reshaping global tech power through 5G, AI chips, and a self-reliant vision for China’s digital future.