Capability Ratings
Future of Power. 2026 National Capability Ratings.
Mapping the global capability frontier across nine strategic domains
GINC maps and measures national capability to identify the Capability Frontier; the nations leading in indigenous generational capability across all nine domains of the National Capability Framework.
Capability Ratings
Mapping the global capability frontier across nine strategic domains
Critical Technology
How advanced technologies shape power, prosperity, and resilience, have driven the rise and decline of nations, and define the current leaders in critical technology
Hard Power
QUICK TAKE ยท AI Summary * ๐บ๐ธ The United States is the only nation to reach the Capability Frontier (Tier 1) across all three Hard Capability domains: Critical Technology, Strategic Infrastructure and National Security. * ๐จ๐ณ China and ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel share second place overall. China holds Tier 1 in Strategic Infrastructure, and Israel holds Tier 1
Production and Innovation
Figure 1. Top 25 Nations: Production & Innovation Capability Frontier Production & Innovation Hard Capability Soft Capability Econ Capability Frontiers Tier Nation CT SI NS HC II GI FS PI TI T1 T2 T3 T1๐ฎ๐ฑ IsraelT2T2T1T1T2T1T3T1T1531 T1๐ธ๐ฌ SingaporeT4T1T4T1T1T1T1T1T17-- T1๐ฐ๐ท South KoreaT2T1T3T2T1T2T2T1T1441 T1๐ธ๐ช SwedenT2T1T4T2T1T1T1T1T253- T1๐บ๐ธ United StatesT1T1T1T1T1T3T1T1T18-1 T2๐จ๐ณ ChinaT2T1T2T3T2T4T3T2T2152 T2๐ฏ๐ต JapanT3T1T3T4T1T3T2T2T2233
Trade and Investment
Figure 1. Top 25 Nations: Trade and Investment Capability Frontier Trade & Investment Hard Capability Soft Capability Econ Capability Frontiers Tier Nation CT SI NS HC II GI FS PI TI T1 T2 T3 T1๐ช๐ช EstoniaT7T3T5T1T2T1T3T2T1322 T1๐ฎ๐ฑ IsraelT2T2T1T1T2T1T3T1T1531 T1๐ธ๐ฌ SingaporeT4T1T4T1T1T1T1T1T17-- T1๐ฐ๐ท South KoreaT2T1T3T2T1T2T2T1T1441 T1๐บ๐ธ United StatesT1T1T1T1T1T3T1T1T18-1 T2๐จ๐ณ ChinaT2T1T2T3T2T4T3T2T2152 T2๐ฉ๐ฐ DenmarkT5T2T5T2T1T1T2T2T225-
Governance and Integrity
Nations on the Global Capability Frontier for Governance and Integrity
Human Capital
Nations on the Global Capability Frontier for Human Capital
Strategic Infrastructure
Nations on the Global Capability Frontier for Strategic Infrastructure
National Security
Nations on the Global Capability Frontier for National Security
Iran
Iran is notably a T4 Frontier, National Security nation with a clear strength in Hard Power and much weaker Soft and Economic Power profiles
Australia
Australia sits 19th on the Global Capability Frontier, with strong performance all around, but lacking a T1 role in any of the nine capability domains.
Africa
๐ฒ๐ฆ Morocco leads Africa's Capability Frontier in T4 Information & Influence followed by T5 in National Security. ๐ช๐น Ethiopia sits on T4 for Productivity and Innovation and ๐ช๐ฌ Egypt T5 for National Security