Future of Economic Power: 2026 National Capability Ratings
QUICK TAKE · AI Summary
- 🇸🇬 Singapore and the 🇺🇸 United States each hold three Capability Frontier positions across Economic Capability, tying for first position.
- 🇨🇭 Switzerland, 🇸🇪 Sweden and 🇰🇷 South Korea each hold two Frontier positions alongside a single Tier 2. 🇮🇱 Israel claims two Tier 1s but drops to Tier 3 in Financial Strength.
- 🇩🇪 Germany, 🇫🇷 France and the 🇬🇧 United Kingdom each hold a single Frontier position in Financial Strength. Germany and France sit at Tier 3 in Production & Innovation and Trade & Investment, while the UK falls to Tier 4 in both.
Figure 1. Top 20 Nations: 2026 Economic Capability Ratings
| ECONOMIC Capability | Hard Capability | Soft Capability | Econ Capability | Frontiers | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Nation | CT | SI | NS | HC | II | GI | FS | PI | TI | T1 | T2 | T3 |
| 1 | 🇸🇬 Singapore | T4 | T1 | T4 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | 7 | - | - |
| 1 | 🇺🇸 United States | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T3 | T1 | T1 | T1 | 8 | - | 1 |
| 3 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | T2 | T1 | T5 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T2 | T1 | T1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| 3 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | T2 | T1 | T4 | T2 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T1 | T2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| 3 | 🇰🇷 South Korea | T2 | T1 | T3 | T2 | T1 | T2 | T2 | T1 | T1 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | 🇮🇱 Israel | T2 | T2 | T1 | T1 | T2 | T1 | T3 | T1 | T1 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | T7 | T3 | T5 | T1 | T2 | T1 | T3 | T2 | T1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | 🇩🇪 Germany | T2 | T2 | T4 | T4 | T1 | T4 | T1 | T3 | T3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | 🇫🇷 France | T3 | T2 | T2 | T4 | T2 | T5 | T1 | T3 | T3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | T4 | T3 | T3 | T4 | T2 | T4 | T1 | T4 | T4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | T5 | T2 | T5 | T2 | T1 | T1 | T2 | T2 | T2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| 11 | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | T2 | T1 | T4 | T3 | T1 | T2 | T2 | T2 | T2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 11 | 🇦🇪 UAE | T5 | T1 | T4 | T4 | T1 | T2 | T2 | T2 | T2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| 11 | 🇯🇵 Japan | T3 | T1 | T3 | T4 | T1 | T3 | T2 | T2 | T2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | 🇨🇳 China | T2 | T1 | T2 | T3 | T2 | T4 | T3 | T2 | T2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | T6 | T4 | T5 | T5 | T3 | T4 | T4 | T2 | T2 | - | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | 🇫🇮 Finland | T4 | T1 | T5 | T2 | T1 | T1 | T3 | T2 | T3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | 🇳🇴 Norway | T4 | T1 | T4 | T3 | T1 | T1 | T2 | T3 | T3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | 🇮🇪 Ireland | T5 | T3 | T8 | T5 | T2 | T4 | T4 | T3 | T3 | - | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | 🇨🇦 Canada | T5 | T3 | T5 | T4 | T3 | T3 | T3 | T3 | T4 | - | - | 5 |
