🇨🇳 China - Capability Ratings

China’s national capability reflects a complex balance of economic strength, technological advancement, military modernization, and global influence. As the world’s second-largest economy and a leading hub for manufacturing, innovation, and infrastructure development, China’s capabilities span both hard power—such as defense, critical technologies, and industrial scale—and soft power, including education, diplomacy, and cultural reach. The capability ratings presented here provide a structured assessment of China’s performance across these domains, offering insight into its current position, future trajectory, and the challenges it faces in sustaining long-term strategic competitiveness.

Figure 1. National Capability Ratings

Figure 2. National Capability Ratings

National Capability Framework — Ratings, Outlook & Dates
Index Component Rating Outlook Date
HARD CAPABILITY
Sub Domain A: Critical Technology
Advanced ICTA−StableAug 25
Artificial IntelligenceB+PositiveAug 25
Quantum ComputingBPositiveAug 25
Advanced MaterialsA−StableAug 25
Energy TechnologyAPositiveAug 25
Biotech & GeneticsB+PositiveAug 25
Space, Robotics & MobilityBStableAug 25
Position, Navigation & TimingB−StableAug 25
Sub Domain B: Strategic Infrastructure
Resource InfrastructureB+StableAug 25
Energy InfrastructureA−PositiveAug 25
Transport InfrastructureA−StableAug 25
Comms InfrastructureB+PositiveAug 25
AI & Digital InfrastructureBPositiveAug 25
Social InfrastructureA−StableAug 25
Advanced ManufacturingBPositiveAug 25
Aerospace InfrastructureB−NegativeAug 25
Sub Domain C: National Security
Land CapabilityBStableAug 25
Maritime CapabilityB+PositiveAug 25
Air CapabilityA−StableAug 25
Space CapabilityBPositiveAug 25
Intelligence CapabilityA−StableAug 25
Cyber CapabilityB+PositiveAug 25
Nuclear CapabilityC+StableAug 25
SOFT CAPABILITY
Sub Domain D: Human Capital
Primary & SecondaryA−StableAug 25
Higher EducationA−PositiveAug 25
Vocational & Technical SkillsB+PositiveAug 25
Workforce Up-SkillingBPositiveAug 25
Digital & AI LiteracyBPositiveAug 25
Research & InnovationB+StableAug 25
Public Health & WellnessAStableAug 25
Sub Domain E: Information & Influence
National IdentityA−StableAug 25
Language & ExchangeAPositiveAug 25
Cultural InfluenceA−StableAug 25
Diplomatic EngagementB+PositiveAug 25
DiasporaBStableAug 25
Information IntegrityB−NegativeAug 25
Domestic MessagingBStableAug 25
Sub Domain F: Governance & Integrity
Stability & Rule of LawAStableAug 25
Policy & RegulationA−StableAug 25
Government EffectivenessA−PositiveAug 25
Integrity & CorruptionB+StableAug 25
TransparencyA−PositiveAug 25
Public TrustBNegativeAug 25
Resilience & Crisis ResponseA−StableAug 25
ECONOMIC CAPABILITY
Sub Domain G: Financial Strength
Monetary/Currency StabilityAStableAug 25
Sovereign CreditworthinessA−StableAug 25
Economic GrowthB+PositiveAug 25
Financial MarketsA−StableAug 25
Global Financial IntegrationAPositiveAug 25
Sovereign Wealth CapacityBStableAug 25
Governance & RegulationA−StableAug 25
Capital AvailabilityA−PositiveAug 25
Sub Domain H: Production & Innovation
Labor ProductivityB+PositiveAug 25
Land ProductivityBStableAug 25
Capital ProductivityB+StableAug 25
Output ComplexityBPositiveAug 25
Research & DevelopmentB+PositiveAug 25
Intellectual PropertyA−StableAug 25
SMEs & StartUpsBPositiveAug 25
Technology AdoptionA−PositiveAug 25
Sub Domain I: Investment & Trade
Trade InfrastructureA−StableAug 25
Digital Trade CapacityB+PositiveAug 25
Foreign Direct InvestmentBStableAug 25
Export CompetitivenessB+PositiveAug 25
Export SophisticationBStableAug 25
Global Value Chain RoleBPositiveAug 25
Strategic Trade DependencyC+NegativeAug 25
Trade LeverageB+StableAug 25