🇮🇷 Iran's National Capability. GINC's Emerging Assessment.
Iran is notably a T4 Frontier, National Security nation with a clear strength in Hard Power and much weaker Soft and Economic Power profiles
QUICK TAKE · AI Summary
- 🇮🇷 Iran is notably a T4 Frontier, National Security nation with a clear strength in Hard Power and much weaker Soft and Economic Power profiles
- GINC's National Capability Assessments focus on capability quality, not quantity and favour broad dominance over specialisation.
Figure 1. Iran's National Capability Relative to Global Frontier Nations
| Capability | ABBREV | 🇮🇷 Tier | Frontier Nations – T1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Capability | |||
| Critical Technology | CT | 🇮🇷 T8 | 🇺🇸 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | SI | 🇮🇷 T7 | 🇨🇭🇫🇮🇯🇵🇰🇷🇳🇱🇳🇴🇸🇬🇸🇪🇦🇪🇺🇸 |
| National Security | NS | 🇮🇷 T4 | 🇮🇱🇺🇸 |
| Soft Capability | |||
| Human Capital | HC | 🇮🇷 T10 | 🇨🇭🇪🇪🇮🇱🇸🇬🇺🇸 |
| Information Influence | II | 🇮🇷 T10 | 🇩🇰🇫🇮🇯🇵🇰🇷🇳🇱🇳🇴🇸🇬🇸🇪🇨🇭🇦🇪🇺🇸 |
| Governance Integrity | GI | 🇮🇷 T18 | 🇨🇭🇩🇰🇪🇪🇫🇮🇮🇱🇳🇴🇸🇬🇸🇪 |
| Economic Capability | |||
| Financial Strength | FS | 🇮🇷 T18 | 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇸🇬🇸🇪🇬🇧🇺🇸 |
| Production & Innovation | PI | 🇮🇷 T13 | 🇨🇭🇮🇱🇰🇷🇸🇬🇸🇪🇺🇸 |
| Investment & Trade | IT | 🇮🇷 T15 | 🇨🇭🇪🇪🇮🇱🇰🇷🇸🇬🇺🇸 |
Figure 2. Iran's Top 10 Capability Groups
| Rank | Capability Domain | Capability Group | Score | PERC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Nuclear Capability | 8.7 | 91.6% |
| 21 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Cyber Capability | 14.0 | 90.7% |
| 28 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Air Power | 10.5 | 87.4% |
| 28 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Maritime Power | 10.0 | 87.4% |
| 31 | Critical Technology | 🇮🇷 Space, Robotics & Mobility | 8.7 | 86.0% |
| 33 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Intelligence Capability | 12.8 | 85.0% |
| 36 | National Security | 🇮🇷 Space Capability | 8.3 | 83.6% |
| 38 | Strategic Infrastructure | 🇮🇷 Aerospace Infrastructure | 10.7 | 82.7% |
| 40 | Critical Technology | 🇮🇷 Advanced Materials | 10.1 | 81.8% |
| 41 | Critical Technology | 🇮🇷 Energy Technology | 8.8 | 81.3% |
Figure 2. Iran's Bottom 10 Capability Groups
| Rank | Capability Domain | Capability Group | Score | PERC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | Investment & Trade | 🇮🇷 Foreign Direct & Domestic Investment | 8.7 | 16.4% |
| 181 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Financial Markets Depth & Liquidity | 8.3 | 15.9% |
| 187 | Investment & Trade | 🇮🇷 Trade Policy & Institutions | 8.7 | 13.1% |
| 188 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Monetary & Currency Stability | 9.0 | 12.6% |
| 188 | Governance & Integrity | 🇮🇷 Transparency & Accountability | 8.7 | 12.6% |
| 189 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Global Financial Integration | 7.7 | 12.1% |
| 192 | Governance & Integrity | 🇮🇷 Public Trust & Legitimacy | 8.7 | 10.7% |
| 193 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Resilience & Shock Absorption | 8.7 | 10.3% |
| 196 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Fiscal Strength & Sovereign Creditworthiness | 8.7 | 8.9% |
| 197 | Financial Strength | 🇮🇷 Financial Governance & Regulation | 8.7 | 8.4% |
