GINC’s National Capability Ratings Guide

National capability is assessed using a structured rating rubric that classifies systems into seven broad categories, ranging from Frontier to Planning. Each category reflects the maturity, resilience, and strategic depth of a nation’s capability, while remaining neutral and respectful across diverse contexts. This framework is designed to enable policymakers, defense analysts, and government leaders to consistently benchmark capabilities across domains such as defense, human capital, governance, and technology, regardless of whether the system is globally dominant or still developing.

The rubric combines letter-grade simplicity (A–F, plus P for Planning) with clear descriptors that explain the functional state of each capability. At the top, Frontier systems represent global leaders that set international standards, while Advanced and Developed bands capture strong but less innovative systems. Foundational and Emerging bands identify partial or developing capabilities, while Fragmented highlights degraded or incoherent systems. Planning represents the absence of delivery but clear intent. Together, these categories provide a shared language for evaluating national capacity, progress, and resilience in a way that is practical, comparable, and policy-relevant.

# Name Descriptor
A Frontier Represents cutting-edge capability that sets global benchmarks and often drives new standards. Systems are resilient, adaptive, and capable of sustained leadership under stress.
B Advanced Signifies high-capacity capability that performs strongly across domains but is not globally dominant. Often competitive internationally, though sometimes reliant on external technologies or partnerships.
C Developed Indicates mature and well-established capability that is stable and reliable. Systems are effective for national needs, but typically lack the innovation or agility of higher tiers.
D Foundation Denotes baseline capability where core structures exist but remain limited in scale or quality. Delivery is possible, but resilience and coverage are inconsistent.
E Emerging Refers to capabilities in early development, with visible momentum but not yet institutionalised. Often reliant on pilots, reforms, or external support to scale.
F Fragmented Describes weak or degraded capability that exists in parts but lacks coherence. Systems are vulnerable to disruption, decline, or failure under pressure.
P Planning Reflects the absence of operational capability but evidence of intent through policy, strategy, or design. May exist as short-term initiatives, long-term plans, or early conceptual frameworks.